NFL 2026 · Week 1

ATS picks, ranked by confidence

Each game at today’s line with our side highlighted, our model’s line for that side, and its chance to cover. Rank 1 is the top confidence pick.

Updated Sep 8, 5:08 PM ET · 59.6% ATS on plays since 2023 · Full record →

Model
The pick is the side our line favors against today’s number · filled cover % clears the 53% bar · plays are called and graded at the open · tap a row for the full case · not betting advice